20/10/12

Jewellers’ Gold Saving Scheme v/s GOLD ETFs Which is better?


Jewellers’ Gold Saving Scheme  v/s  GOLD ETFs

Which is better?



Background

The festive season has hit India with Navratri to be followed by Diwali. We Indians are famous for our passion and fascination for gold. Gold is quoting around Rs 32000 per 10 gram even then many individuals are lining up to buy gold on auspicious occasions like Dasera and Dhanteras. We never miss those days which are traditionally auspicious to buy gold. Many people accumulate gold to marry off their children.

Big jewellery houses such as Tanishq, TBZ, Delhi based PC Jewellers, Chennai based GRT Jewellers and many more jewellers has launched lucrative gold saving schemes. These schemes help to save systematically in small amounts like SIP with jewellers to buy gold at a future date. The instalments are as small as Rs 500 or Rs. 1000 and at the end to term jewellers add one instalment or some add two instalments.  The last instalment added by jewellers is actually interest on previous payments.
 
Scheme Provided by Jewellers
These scheme yield around 10% or 15% depend upon the scheme you choose. This is higher than the interest provided on Fixed Deposits and Recurring Deposits. These schemes make sense if you are planning to buy gold in the near future.  Though these schemes yields good return, a person who wants to purchase certain quantity in future may have to add some amount at the time of purchasing physical gold, if the gold price rises steeply during that period (Demonstrated in Table-1). If anyone opts to invest through gold schemes, he or she will be obliged to purchase jewellery at the prevailing market price. Big jewellers charge high making charge as well as high premium on their products resulting compromise on quantity of gold or extra cost by customers.
There are two ways in which you can buy gold in instalments. Your jeweller’s scheme mention above gives you credit for amount deposited but NOT equivalent gold every month. In ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds), you buy exact quantity of gold. And that is the big difference in rising market. In a falling market, the jewellers’ scheme would turn out to be more beneficial. This is the crucial aspect.
Jewellers’ Saving Scheme v/s Gold ETFs

Illustration

Here in this table shows that if a person wants to purchase 12 gm gold after one year, he or she has two options to invest. In gold scheme provided by jewellery houses or to purchase gold ETFs every month.

Option-1: A person decides to invest through Gold Saving Scheme


To purchase 12 gm, a person starts investment by taking current market price of gold with some safety margin. Investment for 11 months is by the investor and the last instalment will be added by the scheme provider. So a person gets return of 9.09% at end of 12 month (absolute).  But after 12 months, a person has to add Rs. 1078 to purchase 12 gm of Gold.

Option-2:  A person decides to invest through Gold ETFs

To purchase 12 gm gold through investment in Gold ETFs, a person starts purchasing one unit of ETF every month. After 12 moths 12 units collected which can be redeemed to purchase 12 gm of gold.
If a person is saving for his or her children’s marriage, which is several years far, then the gold saving scheme may not help as much effectively. In this case a person should choose such investment vehicle which has returns linked with gold price.
Systematically investment in Gold ETFs would be the better option for the person who is planning to purchase gold after several years. Gold ETFs are available in units which represent one gram of 24-crt gold of 99.5% purity. These units can be held in demat account as long as we want. As unit price replicates gold price, one can redeem units at any point of time to purchase physical gold. Apart from Gold ETFs one can consider E-Gold buying provided by NSEL.
Gold has been very volatile in recent past and its is rising very steeply since last 5 years. The table below shows that the steepness of return is increasing as years pass. The Chart shows the gold price since 1979.




Steepness of Gold Price

Historical Gold Price




Please add your precious comments










17/10/12

Arshiya International : FTWZ Play


ARSHIYA INTERNATIONAL
FTWZs to Add Growth


COMPANY PROFILE

Arshiya International, India’s first company which provides Free Trade Warehousing Zone (FTWZ), and is also engaged in providing end-to-end logistics and supply chain solutions to customers across the world. The company's offices are located at Singapore, Australia, Dubai, Qatar, Oman and the United States.

The company offers solutions in areas of innovative technology, business process outsourcing, supply chain, demand chain and financial flow management services. It operates its business activities through its subsidiaries namely Arshiya Hong Kong, Cyberlog Technologies International Pte and Genco (India).

Arshiya’s biggest achievement is developing India’s first Free Trade Warehousing Zone (FTWZ) at Panvel, Mumbai spanning across 165 acres. Very soon it would roll out the second FTWZ at Khurja, near Delhi followed by Chennai with plans afoot for two more at South & East. A real boon for Importers, Exporters and Value adders, FTWZs are deemed foreign territory where Warehousing, Trading and Value Optimizing can be performed with the help of Arshiya’s state-of-the-art Infrastructure and expert personnel. This will also enable India to compete with its cost and skill arbitrage in regional hubbing and also process cargo in and out of India more efficiently – thereby improving logistics connectivity of India.

Under logistics and transportation Solutions, Arshiya International provides services such as air and ocean transportation, customhouse brokerage, global logistics management and logistics consulting services. The company offers solutions in areas of plant construction and relocation, mining, power generation, upstream oil and gas projects and government projects. Under this it caters to companies such as Larsen & Toubro, Jindal Stainless, Bombay Dyeing & Mfg, Vedanta, Bhushan Steel & Strips, Mahindra & Mahindra, Hindalco Industries and KEC International, among others.
 
Unique Advantages of FTWZ



INVESTMENT  RATIONALE
 

Arshiya International is the company which has set up successful FTWZs business in India. India Inc. has not reaped full benefit of FTWZ and that is the key growth prospects for   Arshiya. The company has delivered 52% and 28% CAGR growth in operating profit and net profit respectively. Further we expect the company will continue reporting such high growth going forward on back of
· Adding new warehouse facility across its FTWZ location in Panvel and Khurja will ramp up volumes
· Reduction in Rail maintenance down time to 1 day from the current 5 days as well as adding revenue by commencing operation at Khurja Rail maintenance terminal
· Currently the company possesses clients like CISCO, L&T, GE India, BHEL, Hypercity, Henkel, etc which are the long-term service contracts. The management expects to add more clients as well as for value added services. The company is focusing more to provide Value added service to customers, which ensures long-term earning visibility



Price InformationCompany SizeKey Market Ratio
Latest Date16-Oct-12Market Cap(Rs Crore)786Latest EPS (Rs)22.4
Latest Price (Rs)134EV (Rs Crore)3008Latest CEPS (Rs)28.64
Previous Close (Rs)137Latest no. of shares58829472Price/TTM CEPS(x)4.66
1 Day Price Var%-2.55Share holding patternTTM PE (x)5.96
1 Year Price Var%-8.53Promoter No of shares26234710Price/BV(x)0.9
52 Week High (Rs)178Promoter %44.6EV/TTM EBIDTA(x)9.32
52 Week Low (Rs)112FII No of Shares7581539EV/TTM Sales(x)2.57
Beta1.1FII %12.9Dividend Yield%1.05
Face Value (Rs)2Total No of Shares58829472MCap/TTM Sales(x)0.67
Industry PE14.31Free Float %55.4Latest Book Value (Rs)148.62

 
Financial Highlights (Consolidated)(Rs. in Crore)Quarter on Quarter (Consolidated)(Rs. in Crore)
Description201203201103201003200903200803Particulars201206201203Q on Q Var%201106Y on Y Var%
Equity Paid Up11.7711.7711.7511.7511.4
Reserve854733657583489Net Sales342312
9.4
223
53.6
Total Debt209912695721302Total Expenditure248232
6.9
168
47.9
Gross Block157567626613735PBIDT (Excl OI)9381
15.4
55
71.2
Net Sales1057822526503401PAT3531
12.2
24
46.5
PBIDT2791621288658PBIDTM% (Excl OI)27.325.9
5.8
24.5
11.5
PAT12182986645PBIDTM%29.524.5
20.5
24.7
19.6
Dividend %7060504040PATM%10.19.9
2.8
10.6
-4.5
Adj. EPS(Rs)20.513.916.711.28.0Adj. EPS(Rs)5.95.3
12.0
4.0
46.3
Adj. Book Value(Rs)14312311410188

Peer Group Comparison (Consolidated)(Rs. in Crore)
Company Name
Year End
Net Sales
PBIDT
PAT
Adj. EPS(Rs)
PBIDTM%
PATM%
ROCE%
ROE%
Allcargo Logistics
201203
4271
574
298
21.9
13.4
7.0
22.7
22.3
Arshiya Internatl.
201203
1057
279
121
20.5
26.4
11.4
9.4
15.5
Gateway Distriparks
201203
821
264
136
12.2
32.2
16.5
23.7
18.9